Cycle Analysis


Cycle Analysis Reports

What will happen in 2020? Will dollar move higher, or will it fall from current prices?

Featured Market Timing Alerts

[...] markets should drift down, driven perhaps by falling oil prices from Sep 20th. [┤...] However, [...] Oct 14th will be an important one with a most decided shift toward ‘right’ wing and authoritarian government action [...] considerable market volatility and also strong upward moves in gold [...]

9/20 AC – Mercury 0 South Latitude. Major change in trend for Corn, Oats, SOYBEANS, STOCKS & Wheat. Please note, this is one of our top events and occurs with the three above events to create a potential HUGE change in trend window for the 9/20 weekend.

Yet it may be that Neptune is providing a fog and its relationship to Jupiter creating a ‘bubble’ that will pop after the aspect separates in September. We shouldn’t forget that 2019 is 90 years from the Wall Street Crash and that Pluto now opposes the position held then (at the quarter point in 1979, the Dow Jones lost 10%).

As for the longer-term trend, it is not likely that it can make much more upside progress until after the 40-week cycle has made its low. More scrutiny into the phases of this important cycle places the next bottom between early and mid-October.

The major aspect looming ahead is that third and final passage of the Jupiter/Neptune waning square on September 21. [...] But if the Saturn stationary direct of September 18 starts to dominate, the mood could quickly shift to hysteria and panic, which is the other side of Jupiter and Neptune when reality strikes, and hopes and wishes turn to disillusionment and disappointment.

Markets are being set up for the projected October Rally with unusual risk caveats from both China AND India/Pakistan (TBA). [...] When others will be buying (October?), we plan to sell whatever we don’t want into 2020, rather than the usual December time.

Our astrological outlook for Dow in 2019 Q4 is a hit on 20378, 24th January, 2020, WITH A STOP LOSS ON @ 27,400

[...] after the rally moves into early September or later in 2019, when the crash season strikes… and our most powerful 90-year Bubble Buster Cycle hits most strongly around late 2019. The most likely window for a top would be early September 2019 to early January 2020.

Gold: With seasonal weakness upon us and with unfavorable astro still in force, we advise patient precious metal investors to pay attention to stock selection and be prepared to buy upon SERIOUS WEEKNESS (TEST OF 1255-58?) OR TIMEWISE JUNE/SUMMER 2019. We plan to stay LONG into H2 2019

[...] this Bear Market[...] could end about April of 2020. If it is more drawn out, it could last into April 2021.

Though there is understandably much attention due to be given to both Brexit and to the US mid-terms, uneasy investors might give thought to adding gold, silver and other precious metals and jewels to their investment portfolio. The value of these may well rise in the next 18 months.

Sponsor broker



Recent Lessons about Cycle Theories

Main Characteristics of Cycles

A cycle is a recognizable price pattern or movement that occurs with some degree of regularity in a specific time period. The analysis of cycles shows us support and resistance that represent smart places to anticipate a reaction in the price of an asset, and therefore represent a basic tool in technical analysis.. Cycle lengths are measured from trough to trough, the most stable portion of a cycle. The information you find on this page is useful to combine with Elliott wave analysis. It's also a valuable tool to understand what is happening in the different asset classes: bonds, equities, commodities and the U.S. dollar.


Amplitude: it's the distance from the horizontal axis to the extreme peak or trough (it's called the “power” of the cycle). Normally the amplitude is a function of its duration- the longer the cycle, the larger the swing. Expressed in dollars, pips, or points, it's related to volatility. Power of amplitude can be influenced greatly by exogenous, unpredictable events some of them anticipated in FXStreet's Sentiment Aggregator. Because amplitude is considered a projection problem, the most reliable projections are made strictly on periodicity and phase.

Period: it's the distance between troughs. While the amplitude appears to change quickly at times, the period appears to change more slowly. The period often remains relatively constant and is an estimate based on immediate past price history.

Phase: its used to identify the last cycle low and determine how far from the y-axis the particular cycles begins, it thus determines the offset between two cycles of different phases. It measures the time location of a wave trough and allows for the study of the relationship between different cycle lengths. Being the relationship of the starting points of different cycles, if for example, one cycle has the same period as another but its peaks and valleys are exactly opposite, it's 180º out of phase). If two cycles are identical in phase, they are coincident.



Seasonalities and Periodicities

Best hours for trading: make sure you don't miss the opportunity!

It is in general agreed that the time period between 12 pm GMT and 3 pm GMT are the most active times for traders who seek to capitalize from the largest movements in the market. The New York markets open at around 12 GMT, and trading in London closes at 3 pm, so the time period in between sees the largest amount of liquidity reaching the markets.


Other Market Timing Techniques

Cycle Indicator

The key is to locate the beginning phases of each cycle, so you can take advantage of the information obtained from the study of the distributions. One of the existing methods to locate those phases would be the study of the price ROC (Rate of Change).



Gann

The Gann Angles

Gann was fascinated by the relation of time (T) and price (P). Gann drew his angles from all significant price pivot point highs and lows. He used just one pivot point to draw an angle that rose (or fell) at predetermined and fixed rates of speed, as follows:...

Revolutionary War Cycles

The next war is likely to start in Libya and Syria (Note this article as written in 2011). The current depression began in 2007 and will continue to 2020. [...] The United Kingdom and China will be badly affected. [...] The country that will do the best out of this mess will be India.