EUR/USD News (Euro US Dollar)


EUR/USD hits two-month lows amid USD strength

EUR/USD has pared its gains that followed upbeat preliminary PMIs for Germany came out above expectations, pointing to a recovery. The USD is advancing amid fears of the coronavirus.

Latest EURUSD News


Technical Overview

From a technical perspective, the post-ECB slide already seems to have confirmed a near-term break through the 1.1070-65 confluence support. Hence, some follow-through weakness, possibly towards testing the 1.1015 region, now looks a distinct possibility. The mentioned support comprised of an ascending trendline connecting October 1-November 29 swing lows, 100-day SMA and 50% Fibonacci level of the 1.0879-1.1239 positive move. Any attempted recovery move might now confront some fresh supply, rather remain capped near the said support breakpoint.

On the downside, some follow-through selling below the 1.1015 region might turn the pair vulnerable to break through the key 1.10 psychological mark and head towards testing November monthly swing lows support near the 1.0980 region.


Fundamental Overview

The selling pressure around the shared currency picked up the pace on Thursday after a rather uninspiring ECB and dragged the EUR/USD pair to seven-week lows. Having failed to capitalize on its early move beyond the 1.1100 barrier, the pair came under some heavy selling pressure after the ECB President Christine Lagarde, in the post-meeting press conference, said that risks to growth in the Eurozone remained tilted to the downside. This coupled with the fact that Lagarde did not acknowledge some stabilization in the recent economic data also disappointing bullish traders and weighed on the common currency.

Earlier, the ECB left policy rates and the forward guidance unchanged. The ECB reiterated that rates will remain at current or lower levels until inflation outlook robustly converges with the bank's target of near, but below, 2%. The ECB also launched the review of its monetary policy strategy – seeking to redefine its main goal, appropriate tools, and communications approach. Given that the review would be lengthy exercise, the announcement did little to lend any support or ease the bearish pressure surrounding the major.

Apart from this, anxiety over China's coronavirus outbreak continued propped up the US dollar's perceived safe-haven demand against its European counterpart and contributed to the pair's intraday slide to the lowest level since December 2. The pair tumbled to an intraday low level of 1.1036 but managed to settle around 20 pips off lows. The attempted bounce lacked any strong follow-through and the pair remained depressed through the Asian session on Friday. Following a dovish sounding ECB, market participants now look forward to the flash version of January Manufacturing and Services PMIs prints from the Eurozone for some meaningful trading opportunities on the last day of the week.



Big Picture

THEMES AFFECTING THE EUR/USD

SPECIAL YEARLY FORECAST

EUR/USD Price Forecast 2020: Lean times soon to turn into flush times for euro dollar

Markets' lean season has lasted two full years and while those are not yet over, flush times are looking more and more likely for this 2020. EUR/USD news: The beginning of the end of the trade war? Ever since hitting 1.2537 in January 2018, the EUR/USD pair has been on a selling spiral that set a multi-year low of 1.0878 just two months ago. The level can hardly be considered an interim bottom when just considering the following price’s recovery, but the focus this time shouldn’t be put on technical readings, but in politics.

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Latest EURUSD Analysis


Latest EURUSD Analysis

Editors' picks

EUR/USD hits two-month lows amid USD strength

EUR/USD has pared its gains that followed upbeat preliminary PMIs for Germany came out above expectations, pointing to a recovery. The USD is advancing amid fears of the coronavirus.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD drops below 1.31 amid USD strength, fails to sustain PMI gains

GBP/USD is trading below  1.31 after hitting a fresh high of 1.3172. The UK Manufacturing PMI beat with 49.8 and Services PMI with 52.9. The USD is gaining ground across the board.

GBP/USD News

Cryptos: Bears take over and draw a bloody moon

Despite appearances, Bitcoin is the asset with the best risk/benefit ratio. The current falls are adjusted to the ranges of the previous rise. Downward momentum expires in the first half of February.

Read more

Gold rebounds above $1560

The XAU/USD pair dropped to a daily low of $1556.70 during the European trading hours as the easing worries over coronavirus becoming a global epidemic and a broad-based USD strength put the pair under bearish pressure.

Gold News

USD/JPY drops to two-week lows near 109.30

The USD/JPY pair reversed its direction during the American trading hours as the risk-off atmosphere allowed the JPY to find demand as a safe-haven.

USD/JPY News

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures


Influential Institutions & People for the EUR/USD

The Euro US Dollar can be seriously affected by news or the decisions taken by two main central banks:

The European Central Bank (ECB) is the central bank empowered to manage monetary policy for the Eurozone and maintain price stability, so that the euro’s purchasing power is not eroded by inflation. The ECB aims to ensure that the year-on-year increase in consumer prices is less than, but close to 2% over the medium term. Another of its tasks is one of controlling the money supply. The European Central Bank’s work is organized via the following decision-making bodies: the Executive Board, the Governing Council and the General Council. Christine Lagarde is the President of this organism. 

On the other hand we found The Federal Reserve System (Fed) wich is the central banking system of the United States. Fed has two main targets: to keep unemployment rate to their lowest possible levels and inflation around 2%. The Federal Reserve System's structure is composed of the presidentially appointed Board of Governors, partially presidentially appointed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC organizes 8 meetings in a year and reviews economic and financial conditions. Also determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth.


Christine Lagarde

Christine Lagarde was born in 1956 in Paris, France. Graduated from Paris West University Nanterre La Défense and became President of the European Central Bank in November 1st 2019. Prior to that, she served as Chairman and Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund between 2011 and 2019. Lagarde previously held various senior ministerial posts in the Government of France: she was Minister of the Economy, Finance and Industry (2007–2011), Minister of Agriculture and Fishing (2007) and Minister of Commerce (2005–2007).

Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell took office as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in February 2018, for a four-year term ending in February 2022. His term as a member of the Board of Governors will expire January 31, 2028. Born in Washington D.C., he received a bachelor’s degree in politics from Princeton University in 1975 and earned a law degree from Georgetown University in 1979. Powell served as an assistant secretary and as undersecretary of the Treasury under President George H.W. Bush. He also worked as a lawyer and investment banker in New York City. From 1997 through 2005, Powell was a partner at The Carlyle Group.

ECB NEWS & ANALYSIS

FED NEWS & ANALYSIS


About EUR/USD

The EUR/USD (or Euro Dollar) currency pair belongs to the group of 'Majors', a way to mention the most important pairs in the world. This group also includes the following currency pairs: GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD and USD/CAD. The popularity is due to the fact that it gathers two main economies: the European and American (from United States of America) ones. This is a widely traded currency pair where the Euro is the base currency and the US Dollar is the counter currency. Since the EUR/USD pair consists of more than half of all the trading volume worldwide in the Forex Market, it is almost impossible for a gap to appear, let alone a consequent breakaway gap in the opposite direction.

Normally, it is very quiet during the Asian session because economic data that affects the fundamentals of those currencies is released in either the European or U.S. session. Once traders in Europe get to their desks a flurry of activity hits the tape as they start filling customer orders and jockey for positions. At noon activity slows down as traders step out for lunch and then picks back up again as the U.S. comes online. If there is important U.S. data we can expect quiet markets just ahead of the number. U.S. economic news have the ability to either reinforce an existing trend or reverse it depending on by how much it missed or beat expectations with the EUR/USD news. By 5:00 GMT liquidity leaves the market once again as European traders close out positions and head home.

Related pairs

GBP/USD

The GBP/USD (or Pound Dollar) currency pair belongs to the group of 'Majors', a way to mention the most important pairs worldwide. This group also includes the following currency pairs: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD and USD/CAD. The pair is also called 'The Cable', reffering to the first Transatlantic cable that was crossing the Atlantic Ocean in order to connect Great Britain with the United States of America. This term was originated in the mid-19th century and it makes GBP/USD one of the oldest currency pairs in the world.

The popularity of the Pound Dollar is due to the fact that represents two strong economies: British and American (from United States of America). The Cable is a widely observed and traded currency pair where the Pound is the base currency and the US Dollar is the counter currency. After the result of the Brexit referendum, where the majority of the British voted to abandon the European Union, GBP/USD has been suffering some turbulence in the Forex market as a consequence of the associated risks of leaving the single market.

USD/JPY

The USD/JPY (or US Dollar Japanese Yen) currency pair is one of the 'Majors', the most important pairs in the world. Japanese Yen has a low interest rate, normally used in carry trades, that's why is one of the most trades currencies worldwide. In the USD/JPY the US Dollar is the base currency and the Japanese Yen is the counter currency. The pair represents American (from United States of America) and Japanese economies.

Trading the USD/JPY currency pair is also known as trading the "ninja" or the "gopher", although this last name is more frequently used when reffered to the GBP/JPY currency pair. The US Dollar Japanese Yen usually has a positive correlation with the following two pairs: USD/CHF and USD/CAD. The nature of this correlation is dued to the fact that both currency pairs also use the US Dollar as the base currency, such as USD/JPY. The value of the pair tends to be affected when the two main central banks of each country, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve Bank (Fed), face serious interest rate differential.